Date : 30.12.2004
To: Editor, Today,
Mr. Tay Boon SunÂ’s reply (30.12.2004) to my letter published in Today (24.12.2004) has explained only the internal policies of HDB, namely that its shorter lease period of three years has permitted more market-sensitive and flexible adjustments of rentals which will therefore be seen as fairer vis-Ã -vis the JTCÂ’s longer term leases of 30 years.
However, what Mr. Tay did not recognize is the fact that HDB is a monopoly landlord in Singapore. As a monopoly, when the HDB revises the rentals at every three years, its internal fixing of rental levels will remain a contentious issue. What is known so far is that HDB has adopted a comparison method of rental adjustments during lease renewal which tends to revise rental upwards but not downwards – to comparable peak rentals achieved at similar locations or its own perception of comparable rentals.
A pertinent question may be asked: would the HDB be willing to revise rentals downwards to comparable lows of rentals at similar locations in any market conditions. Will it continue with past practice in view of constant complaints by shop keepers to lower rentals to reflect real market conditions instead of relying or over-relying on comparable highs or peaks during such 3-year lease reviews.
That the current external market condition has improved and GDP has grown by 8% in 2004 has not yet translated to improved sales or better business climate in retail or other domestic sector of the economy has been the constant subject of feedbacks to respective governmental bodies and agencies. This same phenomenon can be easily seen in share-market movements – blue chip companies would be the main beneficiaries in initial phase of market recovery but not the smaller companies.
Does Mr. Tay recognize that by withdrawing rental rebates granted in Nov 2001, (could have been reductions anyway) HDB is in effect raising rental to pre-existing level of 1991. Has property rental returned to 1991 or pre-1991 level? Therefore, in view of the lack of response to the critical issues involved as raised by my letter of 24.12.2004, I would be pleased to have clarifications from Mr. Tay on the following:-
(1) Whether there was any substantive study to show that rental or property returns has rebounded to pre-1991 level or rebounded considerably with reference to the GDP growth of 8%, the primary factor for withdrawal of 1991 rental rebates.
(2) What basis would HDB use to revise the shop or industrial premisesÂ’ rentals? It is a common comparable rental basis of rental valuation still justifiable in todayÂ’s conditions whereby rentals would be pushed up to peak rentals in similar locations (HDBÂ’s opinion similar) ? How about modifying rental valuation to one based on quantum of supply or comparable lows of rentals in similar locations as especially during market down turns?
(The above-stated reply to HDB's letter published on Today on 30.12.2004 was sadly not published)
