IMO, China has not yet moved away from the “dark ages”. Tiananmen in 1987 is a sharp reminder and even now, persecution of its intellectuals and public opinion leaders; the latest events being of course, the arrest of Ching Chong and the defection of Chen Yonglin. In domestic politics, Hu Jintao seems unlikely to dramatically deviate from his predecessors. He is on record justifying the Tiananmen crackdown as the correct decision ignoring the fact that the unfortunate turn of event was as much due to blunders by the CCP leadership.
Obviously we have very different definition of "dark ages". If china had not progressed since, it would be another North Korea, in larger scale. But is there any comparison between china in the 70s and 90s, or present china and north korea, in terms of wealth for the ppl, freedom to travel within and outside of the country.......?
The details about the Ching Chong and Chen sagas are not known yet, but if such events do determine the "state of development" or "civilization" then with Tan Liang Hong still in oz and Francis Seow in the US, is singapore out of the "dark ages"?
Leaders in china are not there because they agree with the crackdown at tiananmen. They are there because china need leaders who can lead the chinese people to progress in the direction they chose. zhu, wen, hu and the new leaders are more technocrats than politicians or soldiers, for they don't need to fight a war now but to develop economic, narrow the income gap, crack down on corruptions, etc.. Is political reform on top of the priority? only if it can clearly demonstrate that it can bring about economic reform, eradicate corruptions.....The disintegration of the former USSR clearly demonstrate the opposite and one of the world's least corrupt country is a one party rule "democracy" with its founder still holding positons and exercising influences. With internet and travelling overseas, the chinese ppl know what they need, but more importantly, they know what are the priorities!
Talking about power transfer, we do not see Jiang and Zhu holding on to their power till they died. When when left, we don't hear about them anymore. We don't see such power transfer in any country, let alone a big communist country.
The changes have mainly benefited those in the cities and rather less those in the villages, in which some 900m of ChinaÂ’s population still lives. In fact the difficulty faced is to bring the economic benefits to those in the rural areas. This is getting increasing urgent for those left out of the economic boom, or worse, being made to suffer due to displacement during redevelopment, corruption and environmental degradation.
We agree that in 30 yrs, economic development in china have benefitted 400m ppl living in the coastal area. If such progress can proceed in the same pace, then in another 60 to 70 yrs, the other 900m will also be benefitted.
Indeed, the government need to take care of those who "xia gang" due to economic development, crack down on corruption and take care of the environment. No disagreement on that. It is just how we see china should do to attain that.
We can agree that it is no easy task for 1.3 billion ppl to agree on the kind of leader. However, free and open election of leaders is, ATM, only practiced (to varying and limited extents), at the village and provincial level and certainly not at the highest levels. The root cause of the excesses of the Mao era or the blunder of the Tiananmen incident is a weak political system that is unable to avoid cult leadership and that lacks democratic moral authority, due accountability and rule of law.
Moral credibility, rather than moral authority, together with due accountability and rule of law are necessary. But cult leadership did not come from communism alone (not that I agree with communism), Hitler was elected into power!!
In the final analysis, to avoid similar or worse shocks in future, China urgently needs to build a much more robust political system to address real shortcomings. As long as this problem is not fundamentally redressed, significant risks remain for 1.3 billion ppl living in China as well as for ppl living in the surrounding region. The jury is out on whether the Hu/Wen leadership is able to carry out the fundamental political reforms that his predecessors have been unable to do.
I really want to know what kind of political system can address the urgent risks of social unrest due to great income gaps, the continuing threats of flood that destroy farms and houses, and the rampnant corruption in all sectors in China.
If china changes their leaders the way they did in the last 30yrs, we may see a new leaderships in another 10 yrs and I hope the new leaders could lead the country in political reform, but for now, as far as I know, the mandate of the Hu and Wen is not that of political reforms and the jury should be the people of china, not the ppl outside.