Noam Chomsky : Protesters did, but take a look at the mainstream. It was considered a conspiracy theory, Marxist, delusional and so on to talk about oil. Although every sane person knows that that was the reason, if Iraq had been producing pickles and lettuce, would they have been invaded ? I mean, letÂ’s be serious. Of course itÂ’s oil. Furthermore the Iraqis know that. Right after the president gave his dramatic speech at the National Endowment for Democracy, announcing his Â’Messianic MissionÂ’ to bring democracy to Iraq, after the collapse of the Â’single question,Â’ right after that a poll was reported. Gallup, the main polling organisation in the US, took a poll in Baghdad and asked people in Baghdad why they think the US invaded, about one percent agreed, with 100 percent of educated Western opinion, to bring democracy, one percent agreed to bring democracy, five percent said to help Iraqis. Most of the rest said the obvious : to take control of IraqÂ’s resources and to strengthen the US strategic position in the region. And incidentally, going back to the writer, itÂ’s not so much a matter of gaining access to IraqÂ’s resources, you can get access even if you donÂ’t control a country. I mean the oil market is something of a market. What matters is control, not access. ItÂ’s a very big difference. The main theme of US policy since the Second World War has been to control the resources of the Middle East, the energy resources. That would give what George Cannon, one of the early planners, called Â’veto powerÂ’ over their allies, they wouldnÂ’t get out of line because weÂ’d have our hand on the spicket. Now at that time, for about 30 years, North America was the major oil exporter. The US wasnÂ’t using any Middle East oil, but it nevertheless was dedicated and it was the main theme of US policy to maintain control over it. If you look at US intelligence projections for the future, they project that the US must control Middle East oil, but that it itself will rely on more stable Atlantic Basin resources, Western Africa, Western Hemisphere resources. Europe and Japan will rely on the less stable Middle East resources, but the US will control them. ThatÂ’s the way you prevent independence from developing. ThatÂ’s why the Asian Energy Security Grid and the Shanghai Cooperation Council are regarded as such a threat by the US. The meetings right now, the Malaysian meetings, East Asian meetings, thatÂ’s a threat, itÂ’s a coalescence of power moving independently of the US. You look back through the history of the Cold War, and it was the same with regard to Europe, a major concern throughout the Cold War was what was called European Third Force, which might find a way independent of the US in Europe, and there was every effort made to prevent that. A long story, and that makes sense if you want to run the world, you want to make sure there are not independent forces out of your control.
Andy Clark : This is a message from L. Douglas Raymond in the US :
"With the war in Iraq, it seems we are viewing the USÂ’s engagement in some bold, in your face, strategic geopolitical chess. In your opinion, what is the USÂ’s next likely international move ?"
Noam Chomsky : My own guess frankly, was that the invasion of Iraq would be over in about three days and that the US would install a stable client regime. It should have been one of the easiest military victories in history. But they did turn it into a catastrophe. My guess back at that time was that the next place the US would move would be the Andes in the Western Hemisphere. This is a traditional region of US domination, but from Venezuela down to Argentina, the region is pretty much out of control and thatÂ’s a very serious worry for US planners. They expect the Western Hemisphere to be obedient and placid. And if you look at modern history the US has intervened violently and brutally throughout the Western Hemisphere for a long time to ensure obedience, overthrowing democratic governments, installing murderous military dictatorships, carrying out large-scale terror and it goes on pretty much to the present. It is somewhat out of control. Venezuela is increasingly going on an independent path and Venezuela is very important, the US took it from the British in 1921, kicked the British out at the time of the beginning of the oil-based economy because it was recognized that Venezuela had enormous oil resources, also others. And it has been one of the main oil suppliers under US control ever since, but itÂ’s moving towards independence. Chavez is enormously popular in Venezuela ; in fact, support for the elected government is higher in Venezuela than in any other Latin American country. Venezuela is beginning to diversify its international relations ; itÂ’s starting to export oil to China and may do so even more soon. The same is true of the other raw materials exporters, Brazil and Chile, not to the extent of Venezuela, but increasing. Furthermore, the region has left of centre governments. All through the regions, a few exceptions but almost all of them, and some of them are defying the IMF. Argentina simply defied IMF orders, told them to get lost, and did very well as a result. Furthermore, thereÂ’s a large Indian population in Latin America from Bolivia up to Ecuador, very large, and theyÂ’re beginning to organise and become independent. They may actually win an election in Bolivia [left wing leader Evo Morales has now won that election]. TheyÂ’ve overthrown a couple of governments in Ecuador. TheyÂ’re also calling for an Indian nation throughout this region. Now, they do not want their resources taken from them, they have plenty of resources, a lot of oil. They want either to control their own resources, rather than having it taken over by foreigners, or - many of them - donÂ’t even want resources to be developed, so there are plenty of indigenous people in Ecuador who donÂ’t particularly want their lifestyle disrupted so that people drive SUVs in New York City.
Andy Clark : This is an area, you think, that will be an area of concern for the US ?
Noam Chomsky : ItÂ’s of deep concern. There are more US military in Latin America today than at the height of the Cold War. For the first time the number of US military in Latin America exceeds the combined number of civilians in key federal agencies, aid, state departments and others. Furthermore, the training of the Latin American military, which has always been under US control, has recently shifted ; the Congress shifted it from the State Department to the Pentagon. Now thatÂ’s quite important. The State Department has a terrible record of atrocities and torture and crime - everyone should know about that - but under the State Department, military training was under some Congressional supervision, had some human rights conditions, some democracy conditions. Under the Pentagon, it has no conditions. Furthermore, the military is now being trained to deal with, what are called social problems, social unrest.
Andy Clark : It plays into an e-mail we received from somebody in Peru.