U.S. Stocks Fall on Concern Over Housing Slump, Interest Rates By Lynn Thomasson
Sept. 5 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks fell for the first time in three days after pending home sales tumbled and short-term interest rates in Europe rose to the highest since January 2001.
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Morgan Stanley pushed financial shares to their biggest drop in six days on concern earnings at the securities firms will fall because investors are taking fewer risks. European stocks declined for the first time in a week after a rise in the London interbank offered rate prompted central bankers to increase scrutiny of money markets. Asian shares also retreated.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 16.92, or 1.1 percent, to 1,472.5 as of 1:48 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 151.11, or 1.1 percent, to 13,297.75. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 19.73, or 0.8 percent, to 2,610.51.
``The probability of a recession has been increasing,'' said Vadim Zlotnikov, chief equity strategist at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York. ``As companies start to miss earnings forecasts and you get profit margin contraction, I think that could create enough fear for another sell-off.''
A private report said the number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously owned homes in July dropped by the most since records began in 2001. A separate report showed declining sales of commercial properties.
Homebuilders in S&P indexes fell 3.9 percent as a group and a gauge of real-estate companies slipped 2.6 percent.
Lehman, Morgan Stanley
Lehman Brothers lost $1.64 to $54.82. Morgan Stanley dropped $1.28 to $62.65.
Estimates for third-quarter earnings at the two investment banks were cut by Citi Investment Research analysts as investors borrow less and fixed-income revenue declines.
Citi analyst Prashant Bhatia reduced his estimate for Lehman's earnings by 28 percent to $1.40 a share, below the $1.65 average estimate compiled by Bloomberg. For Morgan Stanley, Citi cut its estimate by 8.6 percent to $1.60, lower than the $1.69 average in Bloomberg's survey.
The S&P 500 has risen 3.8 percent this year. It gained 2.2 percent in the previous two days after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke pledged to ``act as needed'' to keep losses in credit markets from sending the economy into a recession.
``The longer-term view'' for financial markets is ``healthy,'' said Thomas Sowanick, who helps manage $7 billion as chief investment officer of Clearbrook Financial LLC. ``We went through a prolonged period of excess in housing and housing-related debt and we're working our way through it.''
Higher Borrowing Costs
The three-month Libor dollar rate increased to 5.72 percent, the highest since January 2001, from 5.70 percent yesterday and 5.36 percent at the end of July, the British Bankers Association said. Other short-term rates also rose.
The Bank of England offered extra cash to financial institutions and the European Central Bank said it is ``ready to contribute.''
The Fed added $8.5 billion in temporary reserves to the banking system when it arranged overnight repurchase agreements, or repos.
Citigroup
Citigroup dropped 98 cents to $46.23. The world's biggest bank may face losses on investment units known as ``conduits'' and Structured Investment Vehicles, which sell tens of billions of dollars of commercial paper, the Wall Street Journal said.
If the vehicles fail to sell the short-term debt, or suffer large losses on assets, Citigroup might have to lend money to keep them going, or take on some of the losses, the Journal said. The bank has about a quarter of the market for SIVs, according to a Citigroup research report, the newspaper wrote.
The units are robust and their asset portfolios are performing well, according to a letter written by Paul Stephens and Richard Burrows, who head the group that supervises Citigroup's SIVs. A Citigroup spokesman declined to comment on SIV losses, the newspaper added.
Separately, Erik Sirri, head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's market regulation division, said the agency is scrutinizing the biggest Wall Street securities firms to find out whether they face losses from affiliated investment vehicles such as conduits that sold short-term debt.
Financial shares in the S&P 500 retreated 1.9 percent as a group and contributed the most to the decline in the overall index.
Costco Wholesale Corp. dropped $3.02 to $58.59. The discount warehouse that sells everything from towels to computers said August sales at stores open at least a year rose 2 percent, less than analysts estimated. Bernstein said analysts estimated an increase of 5.3 percent.
Tyson, Mattel
Tyson Foods Inc. fell $2.71 to $19.30. The biggest U.S. meat processor cut its full-year earnings forecast as fourth- quarter cattle and hog costs rose more than expected and beef sales to South Korea were disrupted. Profit will be 72 cents to 80 cents a share, Tyson Foods said. The company had previously forecast 82 cents to 92 cents.
Mattel Inc., the world's largest toymaker, declined 37 cents to $21.60. Mattel said it found about 848,000 Chinese-made Barbie and Fisher-Price products with paint that may contain excessive levels of lead.
Forest Laboratories Inc. jumped $3.94 to $41.82. The drugmaker won a U.S. appeals court ruling upholding the patent on its antidepressant Lexapro and a ban on generic competition from Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
The index of signed purchase agreements, or pending home resales, fell 12.2 percent in July to 89.9, the National Association of Realtors said. Economists in a Bloomberg survey projected a 2.2 percent drop.
Separately, investors in July bought the fewest commercial properties since August 2006 and apartment building acquisitions were down 50 percent, data compiled by industry consultants at New York-based Real Capital Analytics Inc. show.
Jobs Report
U.S. companies added the fewest jobs in August since June 2003, a report by ADP Employer Services showed. The 38,000 increase last month was less than half the 80,000 gain predicted in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development trimmed its 2007 forecast for U.S. economic growth to 1.9 percent from a 2.1 percent estimate in May. Economists polled by Bloomberg in the first week of August expect 2 percent growth.
Beige Book
A regional Federal Reserve survey will provide further details about how higher corporate borrowing costs are affecting economic growth. The so-called Beige Book is due at 2 p.m.
All 10 industry groups in the S&P 500 declined. The benchmark index has swung more than 1 percent in five of the last six trading sessions.
Assurant Inc. declined $1.41 to $50.52. The insurer that is undergoing an accounting probe said it suspended a stock buyback program and doesn't expect to initiate a new one this year.
Altria Group Inc., the world's largest tobacco company, slid $1.11 to $68.56 after Goldman, Sachs & Co. cut its recommendation on the stock to ``neutral'' from ``buy.''
Guess? Inc. lost $3.63 to $49.77. The clothing maker said annual profit would be $1.79 to $1.84 a share. Analysts estimated $1.83, on average, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Bradford & Bingley Plc paced a decline in Europe after Lehman Brothers cut its recommendation on shares of the U.K. mortgage lender, saying rising loan costs may erode earnings.
Credit Suisse Group American depositary receipts, each representing one share, dropped 96 cents to $66.39. Deutsche Bank AG lost $2.29 to $126.01. The two European investment banks will take a ``material hit'' to earnings from writedowns associated with securities related to U.S. subprime loans, said analysts at Lehman Brothers.
Mizuho Financial Group Inc., Japan's second-biggest bank, fell after the country's chief financial regulator said he will monitor banks' credit-market losses.
Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index fell 1.8 percent to 372.66. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped 1.6 percent to 16,158.45.
To contact the reporter on this story: Lynn Thomasson in New York at
[email protected] .
Last Updated: September 5, 2007 13:49 EDT
US stockmarket is still falling. Dow Jones now 13,253.85 -195.01 -1.45 %
S&P 1,468.11 -21.31 -1.43 %
Nasdaq 4372.57 -74.63 -1.68 %
It is going to be a bad day for Asian stockmarket tomorrow

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