Originally posted by goh meng seng:
Dear Neo,
I am not convinced by your analysis.
Temasek will not buy back shares if there is nothing in for them.

As Atobe has rightly pointed out, there is always a catch in such buy back; the retail shareholders could have benefited more if they hold on to their shares instead of selling them back to Temesek.
However, you are right about business intelligence. Temasek, being the largest shareholders of almost all GLCs and with its links to the govt, has more information than the normal shareholders on the street. The case study of Keppel Shipyard is one prominent case whereby unleveled playing ground has provided Temasek the edge of making more money. If the plans of turning Keppel into a property developer has been disclosed prior to the buy back, do you think Temasek could have bought back the shares at that price?

Basically, you do not need to own 100% of a company to control the company to fight off any adverse foreign competition. Temasek's buying back of local GLCs' shares is anything but "strategic".
But I do agree with you that buying foreign companies may prove strategically sound; the only problem is, AT WHAT PRICE? Most of the time, Temasek, through its control of GLCs, have overpaid for foreign companies; Optus is one fine example. Bad investment in Global Crossing is another example.
Whether the cost justify the amount of business intelligence gathered is something that we could not possibly evaluate without insider information.
Goh Meng Seng
Dear Meng Seng,
It doesnÂ’t matter if opinions differ here. What we need is diversity and not blind convergence of views in here.
However given a chance, I would still like to communicate on the angle from which I interpret this issue.
In your first opening words, ‘Temasek will not buy back shares if there is nothing in for them’.
As the investment wing of the Singapore Government, it is only normal and proper for Temasek to operate in such manner. In fact, for any private business organization, everyone in their right mind WOULD be working hard along the line of profit and shareholder maximization.
When we look at your statement, we hence see a politically accurate answer which addresses the share buy-back phenomena as what is really the most logical and natural action any private business would take.
The contradiction for Temasek’s case however, would lie in the fact that although the corporation has been established and functioning in large as a business entity, Temasek Holding irregardless of any restructuring, name changing or even management successions, CAN never run from its other equally important objective – and that is to spearhead, introduce international standards of industries and eventually nurture local enterprises to a relatively acceptable standard for independent venturing out into the global economic arena.
Buy purchasing back the shares, Temasek would certainly have gained a great deal since they would have gotten a great deal ‘in for them’.
However, the interesting and debatable point to note in this instance would be to attempt and identify what the organization would deem to be a better deal ‘in for them’.
Having to gain from the rise of shares purchased back from shareholders would be a great deal.
So would gaining greater influential and control over a group of highly efficient GLCs whom had been honed into regional able competing winners – among the SE region at least.
Now if I belong to the top echelon in the Temasek management, I would certainly find the having of greater influential powers and control over GLCs a far sweeter deal than a mere gain of a one-time extraordinary gain from share prices.
If I wanted short-term gains, I could have jolly well go on a shopping binge and get myself a significant say on the possible use an even greater amount of funds sitting there in a bankÂ’s safe. Or even better, I could even go on a raiding spree on former SESDAX category companies and trade their shares down right flat.
These would be ‘logical’ and ‘natural’ if Temasek is purely motivated like a true blue business entity and its behavior following a full private sector practice.
Due to the tied in economic, governmental as well as social concerns affiliated with Temasek, any decision makers would have to place their priorities in the achieving of objectives which would certainly have to go great miles further apart from mere short-term and one-time wins.
Hence this is why I would tend to believe more in the notion that the buy-back is motivated by a greater strategic framework – aimed at possible near-to-intermediate frame aggressive regional expansion.
The participant in the Expansion Plan that I have mentioned need not have to be just Temasek alone. Prehaps somewhere along the line, the company had spotted opportunities that it thought some of our little own homegrown squad of independently able GLCs would be able to benefit from too, from whatever their game plan may be.