Originally posted by wd1:
my 2 cents worth --
what's been established so far, is that shorter range wire guided missiles are still impt for engagements in crowded SLOCs like malacca straits and sg straits. that's very true. i think its why gabriel missiles are still carried by the smaller MGBs -- small enuf to wave in and out of merchant shipping, evade enemy fire and shoot them while they miss and blast some merchantman... MCVs may be a bit too big and used in more open waters, thats why they carry harpoon.
the new frigates are intended more for power projection in south china sea and indian ocean... so they need long-legged fast antiship missiles
but in my view what many ppl miss is harpoon is actually getting quite lousy compared to the new ones like Brahmos and sunburn. it's big and slow - vulnerable - and active radar guidance means the enemy knows once a harpoon tries to find him. i think any existing CIWS can chew down a harpoon easily. exocet may be harder, but no way u can stop a brahmos at the moment...
now alot of ppl must be thinking "but americans make the best weapons in the world, how come harpoon so lousy?? to this we must remb the americans make weapons for their own perceived needs, not anyone else's. one must bear in mind there is no navy with anywhere near the number of USN's major surface combatants, so USN doesnt expect too much antiship battles and isnt primarily an antiship navy.
To foxtrout8, this is my opinion ur qn – the big navies don’t expect ship-to-ship combat anytime soon, since their opponents don’t really have so many big frigate-size and bigger ships. Besides they have carriers, which are much more effective vs ships IMO. As far back as WWII most ships were sunk by carrier a/c and subs, not other ships…
look at USNÂ’s destroyers and cruisers -- burke and tico-class carry 90 and 120 SM-2s/tomahawks respectively but only 8 harpoons. theyre more geared towards land attack and air defense from soviet bombers carrying massive antiship cruise missiles. if anything the antiship burden is borne by their all-owning attack subs.
who are they defending then? their precious carriers of course. USN are basically carrier-centric, and their antiship doctrine doesnt say to sail up a cruiser within harpoon range of enemy ship and kill it. no they send up an F-18 sqn from the carrier and saturate-attack the enemy fleet. thats why they can afford not to upgrade their harps... coz they have lots of those already and can afford saturation attacks. there was a harpoon upgrade (block 2) recently that increased range, but they didnt buy it. thier surface ships' role in life is to protect their carriers and shoot tomahawks, not kill other ships.
but we cant afford to do what they do. cant afford to buy so many harpoons, and lousy subs. a monkey will come out of my asshole before we get an aircraft carrier.
so US doesnt bother to make a modern antiship missile and french cancelled theirs. now i said earlier abt USN defending vs soviet cruise missiles. thats what the soviets are good at -- they made their missiles to get past SM2, sea sparrow, seawolf, CIWS and whatever NATO used...
its wrong to say that everything american is better than russian. some things (like WVR AAMs – archer!!) they are actually better simply coz they put more effort and money in them to beat NATO's weak points. so in this case barhmos/sunburn may not be a bad chioce, i expect them to be among the leading contenders. hsiungfeng 3 too. whatever the case, no more harpoon. expensive and lousy. it's time to move to the next generation - supersonic antiship missiles, which i feel are underrated and long overdue... MINDEF is spot on here.
I agree that the US builds its weapons based on its perceived needs first and foremost - to not do so would be stupid. But to write off the Harpoon as expensive and lousy, that's underrating it. I cannot proclaim to be an expert on ASMs, but let me give you a post on another forum by one who is well versed...
"Don't hold your breath. Statements like that are an absurd
over-simplification. The Russian anti-ship missiles represent one set of
technical solutions to penetrating anti-missile defenses. They are not
the only set of solutions to those requirements nor are they necessarily
the best.
The Russian attention to hypersonics had its costs. The missiles are big
and heavy. limiting the number that can be carried. Their high speed
causes severe airframe heating that prevents them using infra-red
guidance. It also commits them to a straight run-in course (or, at best,
gentle curves). They have a heat plume that a thermal sight can detect
while the missile is still kilometers over the horizon.
There are such things as adaptive and iterative guidance systems that can
be applied to subsonic missiles that simply cannot be used on the
hypersonics. Subsonics have much lower signatures so can be more
difficult to spot. They don't guzzle fuel like hypersonics so can deliver
equal punch in a much smaller airframe. And so it goes.
For your information; Russian-style hypersonics are known as "streakers",
Western style highly agile subsonics as "dancers". Both have their place
but their relative merits are still being evaluated with great passion.
What is startling is how few of their naval weapons the Russians have
actually sold. P-270 Moskit has gone to China and they have sold 96 Kh-35
Harpoonski to Algeria. Contrary to your repeated assertions, they have
not sold any of their naval weapons to the US. They have sold a small
number of M-31 target drones to the US via Boeing on the simple logic
that it was cheaper to buy the actual missile in question than to spend
money developing a simulator. M-31 is a version of Kh-31, a short-range
air-to-surface missile, roughly equivalent to Maverick.
As a point of factual accuracy, neither the US nor the UK nor any other
major western sea power has adopted or has any plans to adopt any Russian
designed weapons system.
As a point of factual accuracy, according to SIPRI, Russia is now the 5th
largest arms supplier in the world in terms of value of signed contracts
and its relative position is declining.
I would like to revise my first sentence. please do hold your breath
while waiting, you'll find the experience instructive
Stuart [Slade]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Streakers and dancers complicate intercept in two ways. If we take the
intercept window of a crude, basic anti-ship missile (subsonic,
straight-in) as a baseline there are two options. The first is to use the
Russian approach and get the missile to cross that intercept zone as
quickly as posisble. This means adopting the shortest path across it and
flying that path as fast as possible. Hence P-270. This is a perfectly
viable approach.
The second is to stretch the time the CIWS needs to destroy the missile
to the longest possible point. In effect, this (a) reduces the percentage
chance of the system killing the missile and (b)reduces the number of
inbound systems a single CIWS can engage. One way of doing this is to use
an iterative guidance system in the missile. This works by giving the
missile a fine-cut radar receiver which picks up and localizes the
emissions from the CIWS fire control system. The missile knows its own
course and speed, it now knows the position of the CIWS (and can work out
the course and speed of the target). The computer in the missile knows
the algorithms used by the closed loop tracking system in the CIWS to
correct the aim of the CIWS. it can therefore work out what the firing
correction applied by the CIWS will be and alter the missile's flight
path to be somewhere else. This system is a service reality.
A third method is to physically shrink the envelope. The outer edge of
the intercept window is set by the maximum range at which the inbound
missile can be spotted, the inner edge is the range at which wreckage
from the shot-down missile will still strike the target ship. We can push
the outer edge in by flying the missile lower, by making it more
difficult to spot and by reducing its emissions. We can pull the inner
edge outwards by making sure the shot-down wreckage travels faster.
Putting all this together means that existing streakers fulfill
rerquirement (a) very well at expense of (b). In terms of (c), the
significantly pull the inner edge back (from 1 km to around 2.5) but have
major sacrifices in the outer edge. Their level of airframe heating,
their heat plume, the altitude at which they fly, their active radar
emissions, all mean they can be detected well over the horizon.
On the other hand, dancers make major gains in (b) at cost of performance
in (a). They sacrifice the inner edge of the engagement zone but achieve
major gains in reducing the outer edge by being inconspicuous. Typically,
they come in with their radars off (homing on command or IR), they are
coated with RAM (which streakers can't use since it burns off), they have
little airfrme heating and only a limited plume.
In summary, streakers move fast but have a larger, more distant intercept
zone. dancers move more slowly and evasively and have a much smaller
intercept zone, closer to the target ship. Close your eyes and visualize
it, you'll see what I mean.
This leads to a curious point which comes back to the Soviet's lack of
systems analysis. They designed P-270 to exploit certain weaknesses in
the SPY-1 radar performance. This it does, but by looking at a single bit
of equipment in isolation, they neglected to evaluate the target system
as a whole. Had they done so, they'd have found they'd managed to push
the intercept envelope back into an area where AEGIS works very, very
well. Once Standard SM-2 had been given an IR auxiliary homing system,
it was more than capable of shooting the P-270s out of the sky. Its
essential to think system-to-system NOT weapon-to-weapon.
On average a P-270 weighs about 4.5 times as much as a Harpoon. This
loads the odds in favor of Dancers - remember effectiveness is related to
squares of numbers.
Your comments about Yakhonts containers do not represent new technology
or anything particularly unusual - most western missiles have been
delivered that way since the late 1960s. We treat them as "wooden rounds"
- get them, slip them into the rails, hook them up, run a self-diagnostic
then adjust people's attitude with them.
Sadly, I can deny the Russians are achieving a lot of success; I say
sadly because I thought they were going to do a lot better than they
have. Their equipment has stirred up a lot of interest but relatively
little of that has translated into sales. Where it has, it is usually
because of a lack of any opposition. Malaya represents the only case
where Russian equipment has secured an order in the face of Western
competition.
Stuart "
The Standard which he was referring to is the SM-2 Block IIIB... I believe that after reading his post, one can conclude that the seemingly much poorer performance Harpoon may not necessarily be that bad when compared to its Soviet counterparts..