... and the evidence shows that I said "do not try to predict... follow and call it when you see it" but of course you don't get it because you do not accept that people need to rely on proofs and evidence....Originally posted by soul_rage:As I said, you can predict doomsday for 5 years, getting yourself wrong many many many many... fridays, until you finally reach the cycle where its downtrend, and then you say you are a prophet.
That's what many of the 'naysayers' do. Predict "Negative news" wrongly for many years, and when it finally turns negative, come out and claim credit for it.
so how do you "do not try to predict" and "follow and call it when you see it"?Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:... and the evidence shows that I said "do not try to predict... follow and call it when you see it" but of course you don't get it because you do not accept that people need to rely on proofs and evidence....![]()
Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:What long term view of the market? You don't get it, do you?
When it comes to investing in liquid assets like stocks, you should be following the market closely and flow with it. You can never fight the market.
If your long term view is down and the market is trending up, then you better abandon your views ASAP... making it ridiculous to have a "long term view".
If your view is up and there is an ongoing credit crunch in the USA, you better rethink and make the necessary adjustments to your portfolio...
... and there are many other considerations to take into account...
... and the evidence shows that I said "do not try to predict... follow and call it when you see it" but of course you don't get it because you do not accept that people need to rely on proofs and evidence..So when the long term view is down, and the market is trending up, then better abandon views asap and start to rethink and relook whether the view should be up.
ai yah... why you suddenly become so smart and ask?Originally posted by soul_rage:so how do you "do not try to predict" and "follow and call it when you see it"?
Yes, I don't get it, so enlighten me.
wow... you make it sound so easy. I think you should be the 4 star General in the US army since all the generals tactics cannot compare to you. And you are so cost effective. $1 vs their million dollar tacticOriginally posted by AndrewPKYap:ai yah... why you suddenly become so smart and ask?
... you have a plan... you have a strategy... you want to attack the enemy...
Now, if you are US army, you just go ahead and attack! You predict that Saddam Hussein will be at his palace and you send multi-million dollars scud missiles at the palace. He is not there.
You predict that he is at his summer palace, and you spend more millions sending multi-million dollars scud missiles there. He is not there
You are not the US army... you cannot afford to spend millions of dollars and miss.
You are soul-rage... you want to kill Saddam? You hang around Baghdad and wait.
When you see him, you take out your pistol and shoot him, the cost of one bullet? One dollar.
so am I right to say that your "prediction" only comes after the market has plunged? If thats the case, dont you think you are already one step too late in exiting the market? Plus anybody who read the same news will have the same sentiment as you isnt it? If everybody is reacting the same way as you, then how are you going to make money out of others? The only difference about you is that you are dumb enough to predict that mothers of all black monday will strike, which also mean that you would have exited your position at ultra low level (during panic selling).Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:...that's what you think, in your own mind... just like, you like to sniff panties, you think others like to sniff panties, but it is just something that is in your own mind and not the reality...
... that Friday... many many Fridays ago, the Asian markets were plunging left right and center and if, yes if, Europe and New York followed we could have a really serious crash... but... by evening, it was clear that Europe and New York was down but not very seriously... meaning, and I like I said so by evening... the outlook had changed....
... so you see, Mr panties-sniffing Gazelle, whatever it is that you think is in your head only and not reality... what is in your head is not necessarily in other people's head....![]()
of course, now you said itOriginally posted by AndrewPKYap:... but there are many other things to consider...![]()
Gazelle has more substance than you Andrew.Originally posted by Gazelle:so am I right to say that your "prediction" only comes after the market has plunged? If thats the case, dont you think you are already one step too late in exiting the market? Plus anybody who read the same news will have the same sentiment as you isnt it? If everybody is reacting the same way as you, then how are you going to make money out of others? The only difference about you is that you are dumb enough to predict that mothers of all black monday will strike, which also mean that you would have exited your position at ultra low level (during panic selling).
You might as well post 4D result at 7.31pm after the results are annouced and claim that you are Shen Chia Ye?
hahaha exactly... to a brain surgeon, brain surgery is easy...Originally posted by soul_rage:wow... you make it sound so easy.
hahaha... smart, that you can recognize the fact that you "dun know jack sh|t about trading stocks" is brilliant, instead of so many here that knows a little and think that they know. *pei fu, pei fu....*Originally posted by BadzMaro:i dont know what bull is going on, but all i know i dump quite a bit of money at my analyst . And he does all the mojo for me.I should let him review this thread and tell me what does he think.
Over the years he has been profiting from my profits.Cause i dun know jack sh|t about trading stocks
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Maybe you should indicate in your book that it is meant for investment idiots only. that way nobody will question you. however I suspect that after reading what you have to said, they will all stop investing and put their money in the bank and fixed deposit.Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:hahaha... smart, that you can recognize the fact that you "dun know jack sh|t about trading stocks" is brilliant, instead of so many here that knows a little and think that they know. *pei fu, pei fu....*
there you go, jumping to conclusions again...Originally posted by Gazelle:Maybe you should indicate in your book that it is meant for investment idiots only. that way nobody will question you. however I suspect that after reading what you have to said, they will all stop investing and put their money in the bank and fixed deposit.
are you sure to a brain surgeon, brain surgery is easy? I wonder how many people still die under the brain op, and how much the brain surgeons have to prepare in order to do an op.Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:hahaha exactly... to a brain surgeon, brain surgery is easy...
... to a nuclear physicists, nuclear science is easy....
... but to you, it is damn difficult... because you do not know the "other things" that you need to consider...
You do not know why people lose as well as why people win...![]()
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I have sent you a pm a short while ago - did u get it?Originally posted by Chin Eng:... which all goes back to "odds are everything".....
Is the title of this thread... "What Mr Andrew Yap knows?"Originally posted by soul_rage:are you sure to a brain surgeon, brain surgery is easy? I wonder how many people still die under the brain op, and how much the brain surgeons have to prepare in order to do an op.
vice versa for nuclear physicists
sounds like you don't know what you are talking about
Its damn difficult to decipher what you know (so we will assume you know nothing) coz all you have are sweeping statements.
very strangeOriginally posted by AndrewPKYap:Is the title of this thread... "What Mr Andrew Yap knows?"
It is "Looks like its getting really serious.... " a discussion of the present situation which is something that doesn't happen every now and then... and how the situation affects the markets and how it can affect the lives of Singaporeans... if you have nothing to contribute about the situation, please leave.![]()
Isn't it not about What Andrew knows (or NOT)?Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:Is the title of this thread... "What Mr Andrew Yap knows?"
It is "Looks like its getting really serious.... " a discussion of the present situation which is something that doesn't happen every now and then... and how the situation affects the markets and how it can affect the lives of Singaporeans... if you have nothing to contribute about the situation, please leave.![]()
You talk about selling stocks after SubPrime crisis hit US stock market isnt it? Like I have said, dont you think you are one step too late because everybody who are in stock market is reading the same news as you?Originally posted by AndrewPKYap:there you go, jumping to conclusions again...
...didn't I sell stocks in July and bought Thai Bahts in mid-November?![]()